Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 13.984521 15.857339 18.000989 20.661830 23.912357 27.802654 32.886486
2025-03-16 11.274609 13.503571 16.268885 20.030441 25.144013 32.061643 42.525294
2025-03-23 9.913056 12.305871 15.438774 19.981815 26.662078 36.603857 53.604759
2025-03-30 8.695884 11.061183 14.275405 19.153438 26.754078 38.930231 61.956623
2025-04-06 7.712196 9.990206 13.174012 18.178788 26.343913 40.241346 68.913757
2025-04-13 6.979431 9.181610 12.334254 17.444060 26.129074 41.757007 76.813896
2025-04-20 7.022934 9.474494 13.126006 19.357987 30.731507 53.364485 113.038963
2025-04-27 6.760083 9.280777 13.141220 19.979171 33.136346 61.453548 147.004528
2025-05-04 6.256812 8.675555 12.439306 19.251514 32.777546 63.323760 164.168935
2025-05-11 6.052932 8.515178 12.437183 19.767746 35.034864 72.217033 214.564041
2025-05-18 5.729041 8.138473 12.037652 19.488620 35.536228 76.824739 254.227267
2025-05-25 5.449668 7.812843 11.694856 19.271617 36.131631 81.959351 304.611528
2025-06-01 5.237475 7.595467 11.542902 19.458697 37.839351 91.640772 404.364221
2025-06-08 4.926059 7.194202 11.035583 18.869365 37.556377 94.965103 473.791123
2025-06-15 4.722843 6.960105 10.806574 18.825182 38.650511 103.725207 622.191780
2025-06-22 4.439691 6.573099 10.269373 18.062999 37.697321 104.483271 698.230520
2025-06-29 4.161034 6.179641 9.695169 17.164856 36.225305 102.677465 742.429346
2025-07-06 3.931841 5.860587 9.240195 16.486761 35.262345 102.704432 820.986554
2025-07-13 4.022473 6.100454 9.849511 18.251299 41.734857 140.272935 2113.443684
2025-07-20 3.961789 6.068250 9.933272 18.822722 44.838497 165.566288 4358.151570
2025-07-27 3.770521 5.791648 9.518057 18.153293 43.768741 166.332004 5373.940300
2025-08-03 3.711509 5.751351 9.569367 18.628301 46.684171 195.189422 14967.750631
2025-08-10 3.582510 5.576471 9.337607 18.371518 46.993117 207.130654 31236.330578